Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins host Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills at Hardrock Stadium this week in a highly anticipated AFC East battle.
Both Miami and Buffalo enter week 3 undefeated. The Bills are coming off a convincing win vs Tennessee, and the Dolphins, fresh off a massive come-from-behind win in Baltimore, are looking to maintain their perfect record this week. Who will win? Which team will remain undefeated? After this week, one of these two teams will sit alone atop the AFC East.
This will be a true litmus test for both clubs to find out exactly how good they are.
What We Saw Last Week
Buffalo hosted the Tennessee Titans at home Monday night. The game started close with both teams scoring TDs on their first possession of the game, but that was about the only point in the game where it was close. Buffalo rolled over the Titans in an embarrassingly lopsided win, 41-7.
Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins beat the Baltimore Ravens 42-38. The game flipped on its ear in the fourth quarter, though. Through the first three quarters, the Ravens controlled the game. Tua and the speedy receivers were held to just 14 points.
Miami entered the fourth quarter down 35-14. The Dolphins then scored four touchdowns in 15 minutes, including a last-minute TD pass to Jaylen Waddle to put them up by 4 with under 30 seconds left in the game. It was a truly heroic effort by Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins to come away with the win.
Buffalo Bills Offense
On Monday night, Buffalo started the game without their WR2 Gabe Davis, as he was sidelined with an ankle injury. Jake Kumerow replaced him as the adjacent WR to Stefon Diggs. Entering the week, everyone assumed the Titans would focus on Diggs and make Josh Allen throw to his ancillary receiving options. Well, you know what they say about assumptions…
Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs lit up the Titans’ secondary with ease and put the game out of reach midway through the second half. The game was so out of hand that Josh Allen was wearing a ball cap on the sidelines before the end of the third quarter. (So was Ryan Tannehill on the other side of the field.)
My stat prediction last week was pretty accurate. Entering week two, I rubbed the crystal ball again and gave you what I thought the stat line would be for Buffalo’s offensive weapons. All things considered, I did ok for a second straight week. Diggs and Josh Allen’s stat lines were within respectable ranges. Gabe Davis was a no-go on Monday night, so obviously, that stat line will be off. I flat-out missed the mark with Singletary, as he was bottled up in the run game. James Cook’s stats were in garbage time when none of the starters were in, so I will take the L on that prediction. He went unseen for most of the game while the starters were in. Buffalo just didn’t run the ball.
|Receiving: 12/148/3||Receiving: 9/112/1|
|Rushing: 6/19/0||Rushing: 7/85/0|
|Receiving: DNP||Receiving: 5/67/1|
|Receiving: 4/41/0||Receiving: 6/60/2|
Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Offense
Tua had a rough first half of football on Sunday. He went into the locker room at halftime down by a score of 28-7. He threw a pick on his first possession of the game and the last possession of the first half.
The fourth quarter saw Tua and the Dolphins wheeling and dealing. Tua brought the Dolphins back from a massive deficit to beat the Ravens at home. The Dolphins also made history that day with the first pair of wide receivers ever to post a stat line of at least two TDs and 150 yards.
- Passing: 36-50/469/6
- Receiving: 11/190/2
- Receiving: 11/171/2
Buffalo Bills Defense
The Bill’s singular focus on defense entering Monday night was to contain Derrick Henry at all costs and force Ryan Tannehill to beat them with his arm and a bunch of unproven receivers. Henry scored a two-yard touchdown on their first possession of the game, but after that, he was held to 25 yards on 13 rushing attempts.
Buffalo’s defense accomplished its goal, and the Titans never stood a chance.
- Passing yards allowed: 123
- Rushing yards allowed: 80
- Sacks: 2
- Interceptions: 1
- Forced Fumbles: 1
- Touchdowns allowed: 1
- Field Goals allowed: 0
Miami Dolphins Defense
Miami started the game off allowing Devin Duvernay to return the opening kickoff 103 yards for a touchdown. Lamar and company had their way early on, scoring 28 points before the half. The defense did not get to him behind the line of scrimmage and gave up a blistering 79-yard TD run to Lamar in the first half.
When the clock started in the fourth quarter, and the Miami offense came alive, so did the defense. They held the Ravens to a field goal and walked off the field with heads held high as they finished week two with a second straight victory.
- Passing yards allowed: 318
- Rushing yards allowed:155
- Sacks: 0
- Interceptions: 0
- Forced Fumbles: 1
- Touchdowns allowed:4
- Field Goals allowed: 1
Buffalo Bills Vs Miami Dolphins Week 3
Buffalo Bills Keys to Victory
- Bill’s offense needs to eat up the clock and keep their defenders fresh under the Miami sun.
- Buffalo must utilize the run to set up downfield shots against an excellent Dolphins defense.
- Do not turn over the ball while on offense, and keep Miami’s defense on the field as long as possible.
- Get creative with James Cook’s touches, do not let the defense know precisely what is going to happen each time he enters the game.
- Get in Tua Tagovailoa’s face quickly and stop him from being able to wait for Hill and Waddle to get open.
- Keep Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in front of them as much as possible with safety help over the top.
- Elam and Beneford must be big this week and show that they are ready and able to perform under high-pressure situations like this one.
Miami Dolphins Keys to Victory
- Tua Tagovailoa must have time to find his speedy receivers
- Yards after catch. Hill and Waddle need to rack ’em up early and often.
- Contain the Bills’ front four defensive line players.
- Extend drives and tire out Buffalo’s defenders.
- Find ways to get pressure on Josh Allen with the front four.
- Howard must have a big game and win the majority of one-on-one battles against Diggs.
- Shut down Josh Allen and the run game and force Buffalo to become one-dimensional.
- Keep Buffalo receivers in front of them.
Fantasy projections and Final Score Prediction
Josh Allen: 28-35/278/3, 10/60/1, one interception
Stefon Diggs: 8/103/1
Jake Kumerow: 6/65/1
Isaiah Mckenzie: 3/17/0
Dawson Knox: 6/60/1
Devin Singletary: 6/45/0
Tua Tagovailoa: 26-35/230/3, two interceptions
Tyreek Hill: 8/103/1
Jaylen Waddle: 12/95/1
This week is a really tough game to predict. Buffalo has several starters injured that may or may not play this week. For now, I am assuming that Dane Jackson, Ed Oliver, and Gabe Davis will not play this week. If that is the case, I still think Buffalo will walk away with a victory, but not by a large margin.
Bills Win 31- 24
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