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NFL Week 14 Point Spread Picks

Credit: NFL.com

Welcome to my week 14 NFL point spread picks column. I went 9-5 last week in my second column for SportsObsessive. I now have an overall record of 110-84 on the season. You can always check out all of my previous picks from the link in my profile. I have picked against the spread for every NFL game in the last 7 seasons and I currently have an overall record of 1109-956 in that time. Let me know what you think of my picks in the comments below. It is time to set our sights at the 14 games on the schedule in week 14.

Thursday, December 9th

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5-1) @ Minnesota Vikings (5-7) Line: Vikings by 3 1/2

The Steelers are coming off a big win last week over their divisional rival Baltimore Ravens. The Vikings had a big let down in the final minute of their divisional contest with the Lions, allowing Detroit to escape with their first win of the season. The Vikings will be without WR Adam Thielen and star RB Dalvin Cook will be a game time decision. For this reason, I’m a bit surprised at the point spread in this game with these key players from the Vikings potentially on the shelf. Pick: Steelers

Sunday, December 12th

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) @ Cleveland Browns (6-6) Line: Browns by 2 1/2

The Ravens lost a heartbreaker when their 2 point attempt failed against the Steelers in week 13 while the Browns had their bye last week. The Browns appear to be a mediocre team again this season to me despite a second consecutive season of grandiose expectations.  I still believe, despite their recent struggles, that the Ravens are the superior team. I am going with the Ravens. Pick: Ravens

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) @ Tennessee Titans (8-4) Line: Titans by 9 1/2

The Titans had their bye in week 13 while the Jaguars were pounded by the Rams 37-7 in Los Angeles. In his first year as head coach Urban Meyer has struggled to invigorate the Jaguars. The Titans are coming back from their bye after two straight losses. They are looking to cement their case as the top team in the AFC South as they currently hold a 1 1/2 game lead over the surging Colts. I do think that the Jaguars are destined to finish in the bottom three in the league again this season because they struggle on both sides of the ball. They are currently ranked 25th offensively and 23rd defensively. Pick: Titans

Las Vegas Raiders (6-6) @ Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) Line: Chiefs by 9 1/2

The Raiders lost at home to the Football Team 17-15 while the Chiefs throttled the Broncos 22-9. The Chiefs are coming together for the home stretch of the season. They are winners of 5 straight contests. This game could be the highest scoring on the slate this week since both offenses are ranked in the top 10. I like the Chiefs to pull away in a shootout. Pick: Chiefs

New Orleans Saints (5-7) @ New York Jets (3-9) Line: Saints by 5 1/2

The Saints currently have the NFL’s longest losing streak with 5 games. The Jets are the worst team in the league against the spread this season at 3-9. The Saints will need for QB Taysom Hill to improve his decision making and throwing accuracy so that they can limit their turnovers if they want to succeed this week. I believe that this will be a rebound game for the Saints and that they will cover the spread. Pick: Saints

Dallas Cowboys (8-4) @ Washington Football Team (6-6) Line: Cowboys by 3 1/2

Dallas is travelling to Washington with ten days rest after defeating the Saints 27-17 last Thursday night. The Football Team are the winners of four straight and have drastically improved their defense despite injuries to defensive linemen Chase Young and Montez Sweat. Offensively the Cowboys are vastly superior to the Football Team, however, I like the Football Team’s stingy run defense to slow down Dallas. Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott is not currently at 100% and will likely split carries with Tony Pollard. Pick: Football Team

Atlanta Falcons (5-7) @ Carolina Panthers (5-7) Line: Panthers by 2 1/2

This game could mark the last chance for Cam Newton to prove that he is still a starting NFL QB. Newton completed a horrid five of 21 passes for 92 yards with two interceptions and was the main factor in the reason that the Panthers lost to the Dolphins last week. I expect Cam to have a more respectable line against the Falcons 25th ranked defense. The Falcons are coming off of a home loss to the Buccaneers and I just don’t see things improving for them this week. Pick: Panthers

Seattle Seahawks (4-8) @ Houston Texans (2-10) Line: Seahawks by 7 1/2

Seattle played by far their best game since the return of QB Russell Wilson from his finger injury in week 13. The Seahawks defeated the 49ers by the score of 30-23. The Texans looked woeful in their 31-0 loss to the Texans. The Texans look to be inching closer to securing a top 3 pick in next year’s NFL draft. I do believe that Russell Wilson looked more comfortable throwing the ball which makes me favor the Seahawks to cover the spread in this one. Pick: Seahawks

Detroit Lions (1-10-1) @ Denver Broncos (6-6) Line: Broncos by 7 1/2

QB Jared Goff was able to lead the Lions to a fourth quarter comeback victory against the Vikings last week. The Broncos were beaten soundly by the Chiefs to put their playoff hopes in jeopardy. The Lions are a surprising 8-4 against the spread this year. They have been the underdog in every game this season and have played surprisingly tight contests. I like the Lions to cover the spread while losing a close game. Pick: Lions

New York Giants (4-8) @ Los Angeles Chargers (7-5) Line: Chargers 10 1/2

The Giants had another inept offensive performance against the Dolphins last week as they only managed a meager 9 points. The Chargers, meanwhile, put up 41 against the Bengals. I don’t like the Giants chances to keep this game close or to cover the spread despite this large point spread. Pick: Chargers

San Francisco 49ers (6-6) @ Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) Line: Bengals by 1/2

Both of these teams will be trying to recover from week 13 losses. This line is a bit surprising, as I feel that the Bengals should be favored by more than 1/2 a point, since the 49ers will be traveling across much of the country for this game. The Chargers were able to come into Cincinnati to defeat the Bengals last week after the Chargers surged to a 24-0 lead. Pick: Bengals

Buffalo Bills (7-5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-3) Line: Buccaneers by 3 1/2

The Bills could not stop Patriots rushing attack last week. The Patriots employed one of the most lopsided rush/pass attacks since the advent of the forward pass. The Patriots ran the ball 46 times while passing only 3 times in blustery Buffalo, thus pounding the Bills typically stout run defense. Now they have to go to Tampa and face the Buccaneers in what looks like a low scoring defensive battle between the Bills top rated pass defense and the Buccaneers second rated run defense. I like the Buccaneers to cover and to seriously wound the Bills playoff chances. Pick: Buccaneers

Chicago Bears (4-8) @ Green Bay Packers (9-3) Line: Packers by 12 1/2

I don’t know why this is the Sunday night football game when there are several games that are more likely to be closely contested. The Packers have a commanding four game lead in the NFC North. The Bears will be riskily starting rookie QB Justin Fields this week, despite him admitting that he is still in pain from his three cracked ribs suffered in week 11. The Packers are the best team in the league against the spread at 10-2. The Bears are tied for the second worst in the league against the spread at 4-8. Can you tell where I am going with this one? Pick: Packers (Pick of the Week)

Monday, December 13th

Los Angeles Rams (8-4) @ Arizona Cardinals (10-2) Line: Cardinals by 2 1/2

The Rams ended their three game losing streak by beating the hapless Jaguars in week 13. The Cardinals control their own destiny as they look to secure the top seed in the NFC. Earlier this season the Cardinals beat the Rams in Los Angeles. Kyler Murray returned to form against the Bears last week as he threw for two TD’s and rushed for two more. Arizona is the second best team in the league against the spread at 9-3. I like the Cardinals at home. Pick: Cardinals

Written by Jeremy Thomas

Sports and fantasy sports fan, WWE and alternative rock music are some of my interests. Check out my weekly NFL point spread picks.

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