Welcome to my NFL conference championship round point spread picks column. Last week saw one of the wildest playoff rounds in history with each contest decided on the final play of the game. I went 2-2 in my divisional round column. This brings my playoff record to 8-2 and my overall record on the season to 153-129. I am now ranked 272 out of 8674 on the season. You can always view all of my previous picks here. Both of the games this week are on Sunday. Let’s take a look at my NFL conference championship round point spread picks!
Sunday, January 30th
Cincinnati Bengals (12-7) @ Kansas City Chiefs (14-5) Line: Chiefs by 6 1/2
The Chiefs are looking to head to their third straight Super Bowl. The Bengals are in their first conference championship game since 1988. The Chiefs will be looking to avenge their 34-31 loss in week 16 in Cincinnati. Kansas City is 25-8 at home over the past four seasons. This makes Arrowhead Stadium the second toughest place in the league for an opposing team to compete in. The Chiefs will be looking for NFL second-team All-Pro defensive tackle Chris Jones to harass Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who was the most sacked QB in the league this season. The Bengals have only lost only one game this season by seven points or more. This game could be a shootout similar to the Chiefs 42-36 OT victory against the Buffalo Bills last week. I like the Chiefs by 10 points in what should be a high-scoring contest. Pick: Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers (12-7) @ Los Angeles Rams (14-5) Line: Rams by 3 1/2
The Los Angeles Rams have lost six straight games to the San Francisco 49ers, which has to weigh heavily on their minds. Rams head coach Sean McVay is hoping that all of the draft capital that they have given up in trades will pay off with a Super Bowl in their home stadium on February 13th. It will be a huge blow for the 49ers if LT Trent Williams is unable to play due to his ankle injury. He is currently listed as questionable and is a game-time decision. The Rams blew a 14 point halftime lead against the 49ers in the regular-season finale. This meltdown led to San Francisco making the postseason. The 49ers offense is based on short pass plays and elaborate pre-snap motions in the backfield. This will be a battle of the two best young head coaches in the NFL. I believe that McVay and the Rams will devise a plan to counter Kyle Shanahan’s offense this time. Pick: Rams
How Betting Lines Work
A quick primer on how point spread lines work: For a favored team to cover the spread then they have to win by the number of points indicated in the betting line. For example, this week the Chiefs are favored by 6 1/2 points against the Bengals. If the Chiefs win by the score of 31-20 then they will cover the point spread. If the Chiefs win by the score of 24-20 then the Bengals will cover the point spread even though Kansas City won the game.