Welcome back dynasty football fans! In case you missed it, my most recent article was on 5 players to sell high on and this article; today, we’ll be looking at 5 dynasty football holds. If you aren’t familiar with the terminology, a hold is simply a player you don’t want to trade yet because you won’t be getting anywhere near the right value, especially during the NFL off-season when so much can and will happen between free agency and the draft. Let’s get into those 5 guys you don’t want to part with (yet).
Courtland Sutton, Denver WR
Sutton has been somewhat of an underachiever thus far into his career, which is somewhat to be expected due to mediocre QB play and injuries. But make no mistake about it, Sutton can be a playmaker and has flashed glimpses of his potential throughout his NFL career thus far. If Denver is serious about a QB upgrade this off-season—whether it’s Cousins, Rodgers or someone else—Sutton’s value will skyrocket. Selling before a QB change in the Mile High City happens is a huge mistake.
David Montgomery, Chicago, RB
The Chicago Bears running back had a huge year of growth in his second season, but then last year, in his third, he didn’t achieve the same level of success due to mid-season injuries. Headed into his fourth season in the NFL, Montgomery still isn’t getting a lot of love from the fantasy community despite putting up low-end RB1/high-end RB2 numbers throughout his career. There’s almost this feeling that he’s going to be replaced at some point, which really hampers his value. An improved Justin Fields and new coaching staff could do wonders for this almost 25-year-old back, who will be facing decline sooner rather than later. If Montgomery starts next season strong, wait and flip him then for a 2023 first (plus) when the draft class projects to be stacked with running backs.
Cam Akers, Los Angeles, RB
The temptation to get away from a 3 headed RBBC is strong, I know, but talent always rises to the top, and Akers, make no mistake about it, is an RB1-level talent. The defending Super Bowl champs might like the luxury of having Akers, Henderson, and Michel all at their disposal, but Michel is a free agent and is likely to leave this off-season while Henderson only has one more year left on his deal. Make no mistake about it, this is Akers’ backfield, and that makes him a dynasty football hold.
Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas, RB
There were probably a lot of panic-sells when Jacobs went from being the only RB in Sin City to sharing the backfield with free-agent signing Kenyon Drake. Jacobs’ number of TDs dropped from 12 to 9 and he was held to under 1,000 yards for the first time in his career, which probably has more people spooked-headed into this off-season too. Now is not the time to sell though, and in many ways, Jacobs is the definition of a dynasty football hold. Jacobs, even with fewer touches than the previous year, saw his average go up to 4 yards per carry. Also, his receptions leaped from 33 to 54. Bottom line: he’s still getting the ball and is going to be a productive low-end RB1. Will your league mates pay you what he’s worth? Probably not.
Darren Waller, Las Vegas, TE
Back to back Raiders! Waller’s receptions and TD’s went from 90 and 3 in 2019 to 107 and 9 in 2020 when he truly broke out but fell to a disappointing 55 and 2 in 2021 when he played only in 11 games. Injuries and a positive COVID test were the main culprits for the drastic numbers decrease, as well as Carr developing chemistry with other receivers in his absence. Many drafted Waller really high in startups or paid a hefty price for him via trade and feel like they’re getting no return on investment, but those people are wrong. Waller likely won’t repeat his 2020 numbers —he’s not the only mouth to feed anymore on an improving offense—but if healthy, he will put up TE1 numbers. Are 6 TDs a year more realistic than 9? Absolutely. But with a position as uneven as a tight end, I’ll take it. Waller is the definition of a dynasty football hold. Sell him now and you get peanuts. Hold him, watch his value restore and you either have a much more valuable trade piece or you have the TE1 that teams covet. That’s a win/win scenario.
These 5 players are absolutely ones that I wouldn’t move this off-season. Give it time, let their situations improve in some cases and in others, allow them to return to form (Waller). If these are players that you still want to move once the season has started up, their value should be higher than it is today and you can potentially get some of those increasingly more valuable 2023 picks (and more) in return.